lunes, 29 de octubre de 2012

WHAT IS NOT COUNTED IN SPAIN AND IF IT IS CONSIDERED IN EUROPE BEFORE THE CATALAN PROBLEM


The attitude of Catalonia in Spain and its internal fight of the country, is similar to the one that one lives at level of the Euro area, with the richest countries complaining about the poorest. Also, reflective something that is passing at internal level in several European countries, since the problem of Catalonia is not isolated. Belgium, with the problems between flamingos and Walloon, is the other great focus of internal tension at European level. But it is that also, in other countries in more stable principle as Italy and Germany, problems are arising with the subsidies to the poorest regions, although it is in smaller measure.  

And it is that in definitive all these problems either have the same origin THE INEQUALITY: social, economic, or fiscal, and now in Catalonia they join the three conditions, in the whole continent there are old tensions for the unequal economic development that now come to resurge in form of political problems, look in the non alone bottom it is Catalonia the one that puts in a problem to Spain, it is that the own Spain is making the same thing with the euro area, I ignore if he has threatened her to become independent of the euro, I believe that not, but it is more than evident that the Spanish government is trying of blackmailing to the whole rich part of the euro area, with his attitude of if but not, of if I catch the rescue that if I don't need it that if I complete the deficit that if I don't complete it etc. 

But the advantage of Catalonia, is that it is not an alone a problem for Spain, if it doesn't stop the group of the euro area. This way, the drift sovereignty represents a "great threat" for the hopes of the European leaders of containing the debt crisis with the stabilization of Spain. The plan of Brussels is to maintain Spain it floats while the investors digest the losses in Greece, where there are still bigger problems.  

Before the situation of uncertainty, the financial markets simply become agitated with the fact that it is spoken of secession. The investors fear that the Catalan revolt prevents the central government to control the expense of the Autonomous Communities, one of the big problems of Spain. Europe knows that Spain is to 50% Madrid and 50% Catalonia if it fails anyone of two, good-bye Spain and possibly good-bye euro area, at least such and as we know it now.  

At the moment, "the president Artur Mas" it avoids the word "independence" to define their objectives, this gives a blow of hope and it loosens the tension that the topic causes in europa, maybe some political and economic commentators that Catalonia would simply be given for satisfied with a more favorable agreement to their interests in tax matter think. However, the impulse for the growing support to the secession, and its speech, with its famous sentence of "Catalonia wants to have instruments of State" he has lit the alarms in the whole euro area. 

Europe picks up the numbers that he usually gives the Generalitat on the fiscal deficit: those already well-known 16.000 millions, 8% of the Catalan GDP, and the complaint that alone they return to Catalonia 43% of the taxes that are paid there. Also, it highlights that an independent Catalonia would have, in theory, a rent per capita of 30.500 annual Eurus, the seventh bigger than the fair European Union behind Denmark and above countries like Germany. But they also think that some Catalan sovereignty is painting a more beautiful square of that that in fact would be". The problem is that the Spanish government is not able to or it doesn't facilitate other reasonably specific numbers that rebut it, with what the Catalan version is the hypothesis to shuffle.  

Some economists contrary to this movement or tune the Spanish central government they adduce without any type of figures, ideas and chapters of expenses, such as: Catalonia, a region would rot of for yes highly you get in debt and with deficit, to confront the enormous economic cost of opening embassies in the entire world, to create its own police and agency of customers and possibly its own army, Catalonia would have to assume a part of the Spanish total debt. 

Let us see today Catalonia he already pays their proportional part of the complex Spanish state, and Catalonia this indebted one in relation to the debt that has acquired the Spanish state, remember you that Catalonia doesn't have access free to the international markets, as he doesn't have it any Spanish CCAA, it already has its own police and it contributes I repeat, to the diplomatic and fiscal expenses of Spain, all these contributions in the event of becoming independent would not leave the region and they would be good to create and to assume the creation of structures of the new state that now not alone it already shares, but rather also help to other costs of the Spanish state that it distributes gracefully in other CCAA, 

The only reasonable doubt and certainly of capital importance, it is if this hypothetical new state would be accepted in the European Union, especially if the other part, in this case Spain, opposes you. The Spanish government's diverse positions, also, remember that the from the Generalitat expenses like the cost of the rescue of Catalan banks have been obviated, when promoting the benefits of the independent, this is not certain in Catalonia it is not counted alone with this, if not with the assumption on behalf of the Spanish sovereign debt, quantities and forms that would be part of the logical negotiation in the event of a non traumatic process neither I force of segregation  

In spite of everything, you threaten, calamities, non solidarity accusations and all that they want, seems that every time there is more people in Catalonia than he decants for the secession. There are a lot of people that was not a couple of years ago now in favor of the independence you see it as the only hope", assures Laia Serrano, economist that the last year formed the community “Barcelona he Acts” to help the victims of the recession.  

Internationally since the hypothetical segregation of Catalonia of Spain, you cannot consider a danger from the point of view of the new state, but from the situation the old Spain would be of how, robbed of one of its two motors that surprisingly is in alone social representation 16%, but that it represents 46% of the economy of Spain.  

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